MMAtown picks for UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
The Ufc schedule rolls on with UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira, and MMAtown’s angle is simple: take the spots where talent + price line up. That means two underdogs we think can win the fight, and one “win condition” prop that makes sense for how flyweights usually play out.
Pick #1: Vinicius Oliveira over Mario Bautista (underdog)
This is the main event: Fight: Oliveira vs. Bautista. We respect the craft of Mario Bautista — he’s consistent, hard to rattle, and knows how to bank rounds. But the value is on Vinicius Oliveira as an underdog because he has the kind of upside that can flip a fight fast: sharper moments, bigger bursts, and the ability to make a “safe” fight feel uncomfortable.
Pick #2: Julius Walker over Dustin Jacoby (underdog)
On paper, Dustin Jacoby is the seasoned striker, and we get why people default there. But MMAtown’s pick is Julius Walker in Fight: Walker vs. Jacoby because the number matters. If Walker is priced as the dog, we’ll take the talent swing: youth, athletic chaos, and a path to turn this into the kind of fight where age (Jacoby turning 37) can show up in the margins.
Pick #3: Kyoji Horiguchi by decision (-125)
For Fight: Albazi vs. Horiguchi, the pick is Kyoji Horiguchi by decision (-125). The logic is pretty clean: flyweights are fast, the rounds can be tight, and Amir Albazi has been absurdly durable — he’s not known for getting finished. So instead of hunting a highlight, we’re betting the most likely script: Horiguchi wins minutes, wins rounds, and gets his hand raised.
Karate Kid is back🥋🔥
— 堀口恭司 Kyoji Horiguchi (@kyoji1012) February 4, 2026
10年前のUFCでのニックネーム「空手キッド」をそのままにして欲しいとお願いしました！
自分を信じて夢を託してくれた人に恩返しできるようにUFCで戦いたいと思います。#UFCVegas113 pic.twitter.com/Sct87qZIVZ
The MMAtown angle
We’re not trying to be cute with ten different leans. For this card, it’s three positions that match how fights actually swing: a live dog in the main event, a value dog where age might matter, and a decision look in a matchup where finishing a granite-chinned flyweight is usually a bad bet.
